
With the Strait of Hormuz still functionally closed to global trade and oil prices hovering at $100 per barrel, airlines are facing an increasingly difficult situation, given their reliance on jet fuel.
Delta Air Lines, Air Canada, KLM, and Lufthansa have all canceled dozens of less-popular routes to prioritize those that bring in the largest numbers of passengers. Lufthansa also shut down its regional airline CityLine a year earlier than initially planned.
U.S. carriers, including JetBlue, American Airlines, and United Airlines, have all also raised the price of checking a bag. While this has been presented as necessary to avoid airfare increases, United CEO Scott Kirby recently warned that ticket prices may rise by as much as 20% by the summer if the situation with jet fuel does not improve by then.
CEO of Dublin-based low-cost carrier Ryanair since 1994, Michael O'Leary has also given frequent interviews, citing the far-reaching impact of current jet fuel prices.
In his latest press conference in Dublin, O'Leary said most European airlines have their fuel supply needs covered throughout the summer, Il Sole 24 Ore reported. Beyond that, we may start to see bankruptcies, as carriers that have already been struggling with operating costs are unable to cover oil at such prices.
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"The war has already cost us $50 million more in fuel in April alone," O'Leary said on April 22, according to Il Sole 24 Ore. "If it continues and the price stays at $150 a barrel, within a year this could rise to $600 million."
A longtime familiar face in the industry, O'Leary is known in aviation circles for his bombastic comments and, in some cases, quick temper. In the most recent interview, this also meant not holding back on naming airlines he thinks will struggle with oil prices to the point of bankruptcy.
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"If oil stays at these levels, two or three European airlines in October or November could go bankrupt like Wizz Air, which wants to sue me but won't have enough time to do so, and Air Baltic," O'Leary said, according to Il Sole 24 Ore. He was referring to Wizz Air's threat of legal action over his past comments questioning the airline's financial state, as reported by AvioRadar.
"[It's] a good thing for our business because there will be fewer competitors," O'Leary added.
O'Leary's comments mirror the sentiment of the International Energy Agency, which earlier this month warned that "several European countries may start to face shortages of jet fuel in the next six weeks" and classified the current situation as "the biggest energy security threat in history."
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